BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Michigan State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Michigan State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.42 |
29.90 (+5.48) |
13.27 |
20.71 (+7.44) |
20.71 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
353.00 |
403.26 (+50.26) |
272.18 |
308.35 (+36.16) |
308.35 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.43 |
6.09 (+0.66) |
4.27 |
4.98 (+0.71) |
4.98 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
27.42 |
23.60 (-3.82) |
29.64 |
26.58 (-3.06) |
26.58 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
416.83 |
405.02 (-11.81) |
408.09 |
429.65 (+21.56) |
429.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.77 |
5.61 (-0.16) |
5.93 |
5.87 (-0.07) |
5.87 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-01 |
Central Michigan |
32.66 |
17.06 |
-15.60 |
49.72 |
75.02% |
W 31-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Richmond |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-14 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Washington |
13.94 |
42.65 |
+28.71 |
56.59 |
3.96% |
L 7-41 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Maryland |
19.81 |
34.63 |
+14.82 |
54.44 |
26.23% |
L 9-31 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Iowa |
6.93 |
21.10 |
+14.17 |
28.02 |
27.28% |
L 16-26 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Rutgers |
14.97 |
28.05 |
+13.08 |
43.03 |
29.02% |
L 24-27 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Michigan |
6.87 |
42.64 |
+35.76 |
49.51 |
0.10% |
L 0-49 |
2-5 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Minnesota |
20.73 |
27.24 |
+6.51 |
47.97 |
39.56% |
L 12-27 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Nebraska |
14.32 |
18.75 |
+4.43 |
33.07 |
42.90% |
W 20-17 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@Ohio State |
3.08 |
40.72 |
+37.63 |
43.80 |
0.10% |
L 3-38 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Indiana |
23.07 |
28.65 |
+5.58 |
51.72 |
41.06% |
W 24-21 |
4-7 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Penn State |
7.05 |
40.23 |
+33.19 |
47.28 |
0.10% |
L 0-42 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
1.78% |
| 2-10 |
11.85% |
| 3-9 |
26.57% |
| 4-8 |
30.50% |
| 5-7 |
19.94% |
| 6-6 |
7.55% |
| 7-5 |
1.64% |
| 8-4 |
0.16% |
| 9-3 |
0.00% |
Post-Season Analysis
Big 10 Post-Season Analysis